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How many copies did CyberHive sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 77 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CyberHive and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CyberHive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 885k–5.9M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like CyberHive

A typical game among these

≈ 885k–5.9M copies

≈ $12.2M–$55.6M after Steam's cut

from ~79k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 137 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (8 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
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SpaceCity Builder
Breathedge
2021
Est. copies
≈ 460k–748k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
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Open World Survival CraftSpace
FTL: Faster Than Light
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSpace
Out There: Oceans of Time
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Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$21k–$56k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before Steam's cut
$12.99
237 reviews
Mixed
AdventureSingleplayer
Space Engineers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before Steam's cut
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135k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSandbox
ASTRONEER
2019
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≈ 4.0M–6.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
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MultiplayerOpen World
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Surviving Mars
2018
Est. copies
≈ 889k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Mostly Positive

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