How many copies did Heart Fragment sell?

8k to 14k copies, based on its 338 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Heart Fragment make?

Heart Fragment is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Heart Fragment?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 8k–14k; from 338 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heart Fragment and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heart Fragment's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 78k–151k

best case 557k (Hatoful Boyfriend)

Games like Heart Fragment

A typical game among these

≈ 78k–151k copies

≈ $490k–$652k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hatoful Boyfriend at ≈ 425k–690k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Dating Sim, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Seduce Me the Otome 2015	Est. copies ≈ 106k–172k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayNudity
Magical Diary: Horse Hall 2012	Est. copies ≈ 64k–105k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $266k–$714k after Steam's cut $483k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDating Sim
Folie Fatale 2024	Est. copies ≈ 67k–109k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $110k–$296k after Steam's cut $200k–$455k before Steam's cut	$5.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistOtome
Hatoful Boyfriend 2014	Est. copies ≈ 425k–690k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDating Sim
Tailor Tales 2019	Est. copies ≈ 29k–48k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayOtome
Cinderella Phenomenon - Otome/Visual Novel 2017	Est. copies ≈ 143k–232k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayOtome
Nameless ~The one thing you must recall~ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $354k–$951k after Steam's cut $643k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	766 reviews Very Positive	Dating SimOtome
Blood Code 2015	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $271k–$729k after Steam's cut $493k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Visual NovelRomance