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How many copies did Knight's Retreat sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 99 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Knight's Retreat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Knight's Retreat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–21k
best case 29k (Pawnbarian)
Games like Knight's Retreat

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–21k copies

≈ $7k–$18k after Steam's cut

from ~364 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pawnbarian at ≈ 22k–36k copies, ≈ $62k–$165k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 47 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 130.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Chess (7 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Chess Brain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
164 reviews
Very Positive
SokobanChess
Zen Chess: Mate in One
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$0.99
465 reviews
Very Positive
ChessMinimalist
Pawnbarian
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$62k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before Steam's cut
$9.99
903 reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
Unlock The King
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$0.99
404 reviews
Very Positive
FuturisticSokoban
Chessformer
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$4.99
323 reviews
Very Positive
ChessPuzzle
Sudoku Zenkai / 数独全卡
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$3.99
213 reviews
Very Positive
LogicSolitaire
KNIGHTS
2016
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
$0.99
827 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleTabletop
Miracle Sudoku
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$4.99
178 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.