How much revenue did Need for Speed™ Rivals make?

$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Need for Speed™ Rivals sell?

Q: How many copies did Need for Speed™ Rivals sell?

265k to 431k copies, based on its 11k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 265k–431k; $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut; from 11k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Need for Speed™ Rivals and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Need for Speed™ Rivals's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–16.4M

best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)

Games like Need for Speed™ Rivals

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–16.4M copies

≈ $62.9M–$236.6M after Steam's cut

from ~228k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 30k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 84k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Driving (7 of 8) and Automobile Sim (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Driving + Transportation, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Forza Horizon 4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Need for Speed™ Heat 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.2M after Steam's cut $134.0M–$304.9M before Steam's cut	$69.99	154k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Forza Horizon 5 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	282k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Euro Truck Simulator 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 59.7M–97.0M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	944k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DrivingTransportation
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics
My Summer Car 2025	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	118k reviews Very Positive	Automobile SimSimulation