How much revenue did NASCAR Heat 5 make?

NASCAR Heat 5 is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did NASCAR Heat 5 sell?

Q: How many copies did NASCAR Heat 5 sell?

98k to 159k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 98k–159k; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NASCAR Heat 5 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NASCAR Heat 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 88k–204k

best case 1.1M (F1® 2021)

Games like NASCAR Heat 5

A typical game among these

≈ 88k–204k copies

≈ $160k–$703k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: F1® 2021 at ≈ 863k–1.4M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Immersive Sim. The breakout hits carry Controller + Immersive Sim + VR; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
F1® Manager 2022 2022	Est. copies ≈ 266k–433k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationStrategy
F1® 22 2022	Est. copies ≈ 634k–1.0M 7.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	26k reviews Mixed	RacingImmersive Sim
F1® 2021 2021	Est. copies ≈ 863k–1.4M 9.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	35k reviews Very Positive	RacingDriving
F1® Manager 2023 2023	Est. copies ≈ 79k–128k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Very Positive	SimulationStrategy
Barro 2018	Est. copies ≈ 166k–270k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $228k–$613k after Steam's cut $414k–$943k before Steam's cut	$4.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	IndieRacing
KartKraft™ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 122k–199k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $840k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	RacingImmersive Sim
Barro F 2020	Est. copies ≈ 64k–103k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $87k–$234k after Steam's cut $158k–$361k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Very Positive	IndieRacing
Barro 2020 2019	Est. copies ≈ 62k–100k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $85k–$227k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	IndieRacing