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How many copies did Ships At Sea sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 68k–111k
$468k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $852k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ships At Sea and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ships At Sea's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–30k
best case 41k (Green Hell VR)
Games like Ships At Sea

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–30k copies

≈ $14k–$139k after Steam's cut

from ~397 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Green Hell VR at ≈ 31k–51k copies, ≈ $171k–$460k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 76 reviews in their first month; the range was 33 to 335.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and Time Management (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2.6x vs typical
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Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
3.2x vs typical
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SportsStrategy

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