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How many copies did ZEROED sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 372–605
$408–$1k after Steam's cut $742–$2k before Steam's cut
from 15 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ZEROED and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ZEROED's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 156k–700k
best case 917k (Need for Speed™ Most Wanted)
Games like ZEROED

A typical game among these

≈ 156k–700k copies

≈ $1.0M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Need for Speed™ Most Wanted at ≈ 699k–1.1M copies, ≈ $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 451 reviews in their first month; the range was 128 to 779.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (7 of 8) and Combat Racing (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Need for Speed™ Hot Pursuit Remastered
2020
Est. copies
≈ 376k–610k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving
Need for Speed™ Most Wanted
2020
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingMultiplayer
Redout 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$204k–$549k after Steam's cut $372k–$845k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RacingFlight
Altitude
2009
Est. copies
≈ 123k–200k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFlight
Uncrashed : FPV Drone Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$819k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationFlight
BallisticNG
2018
Est. copies
≈ 114k–186k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$471k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $856k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingFuturistic
Wing Breakers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$66k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before Steam's cut
$24.99
144 reviews
Mostly Positive
Combat RacingRacing
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.