How much revenue did Nayati River make?

$3k–$8k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nayati River sell?

Q: How many copies did Nayati River sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 86 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut; from 86 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nayati River and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nayati River's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 106k–160k

best case 1.4M (State of Decay)

Games like Nayati River

A typical game among these

≈ 106k–160k copies

≈ $695k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: State of Decay at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 772 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Zombies (8 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Zombies + Open World, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World + Multiplayer + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville 2015	Est. copies ≈ 100k–163k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $750k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Colony Sim Survival
State of Decay 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 7.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesSurvival
Night of the Dead 2024	Est. copies ≈ 295k–479k 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	12k reviews Mostly Positive	Open World Survival CraftZombies
Mist Survival 2018	Est. copies ≈ 437k–711k 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalZombies
State of Decay: YOSE 2015	Est. copies ≈ 644k–1.0M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesSurvival
IfSunSets 2024	Est. copies ≈ 62k–101k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $342k–$919k after Steam's cut $621k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessNature
Dead State: Reanimated 2014	Est. copies ≈ 144k–233k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	ZombiesSurvival
HumanitZ 2026	Est. copies ≈ 357k–580k 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessSurvival