Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did IfSunSets sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 62k–101k
$342k–$919k after Steam's cut $621k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid IfSunSets and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IfSunSets's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 236–4k
best case 10k (Serum: Toxic Survival)
Games like IfSunSets

A typical game among these

≈ 236–4k copies

≈ $245–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~14 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Nature (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Serum: Toxic Survival at ≈ 8k–13k copies, ≈ $54k–$145k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 153 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Nature (4 of 8) and Survival (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Interactive Fiction + FPS, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dinosaurs A Prehistoric Adventure
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8k–12k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
222 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayDinosaurs
Luckily, My Arm Is A Shotgun
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$910–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$1.99
67 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureOpen World
Mystery Swords
2021
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$10.99
14 reviews
Mostly Negative
ActionArcade
Paradise
2021
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$183–$494 after Steam's cut $333–$760 before Steam's cut
$2.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
ActionSurvival
Green Alert
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut
$1.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Action-AdventurePixel Graphics
Trace
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
$5.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
AdventureAction RPG
Senpai Arena
2023
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$353–$952 after Steam's cut $642–$1k before Steam's cut
$3.99
13 reviews
Mixed
ZombiesReal Time Tactics
Serum: Toxic Survival
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$54k–$145k after Steam's cut $98k–$223k before Steam's cut
$24.99
317 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessInteractive Fiction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.