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How many copies did A Painter's Tale: Curon, 1950 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Painter's Tale: Curon, 1950 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Painter's Tale: Curon, 1950's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 464k–678k
best case 5.9M (Halo Infinite)
Games like A Painter's Tale: Curon, 1950

A typical game among these

≈ 464k–678k copies

≈ $3.6M–$5.2M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Halo Infinite at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 515 to 96k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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