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How many copies did Eastward sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 412k–670k
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Eastward and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Eastward's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 47k–13.3M
best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)
Games like Eastward

A typical game among these

≈ 47k–13.3M copies

≈ $275k–$81.6M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 127 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Post-apocalyptic (8 of 8) and Action RPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
153x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
ESCAPELAND
2024
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$306–$824 after Steam's cut $556–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Early AccessAtmospheric
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
93x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Meifumado
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before Steam's cut
$14.99
181 reviews
Mixed
RPGAction RPG
Tunguska: The Visitation - Final Cut
2021
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$193k–$518k after Steam's cut $350k–$796k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticSurvival
UNDYING - "KINGDOM"
2023
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$258k–$692k after Steam's cut $468k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichMultiple Endings
Death Trash
2021
Est. copies
≈ 92k–150k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$508k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $924k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessPost-apocalyptic
Metro 2033 Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.8M–$117.8M after Steam's cut $79.6M–$181.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
142k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS

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