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How many copies did King of Spies sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$300–$804 after Steam's cut $545–$1k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid King of Spies and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including King of Spies's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 567k–1.1M
best case 2.1M (VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action)
Games like King of Spies

A typical game among these

≈ 567k–1.1M copies

≈ $6.9M–$11.5M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 496 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Visual Novel, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

missed messages.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 448k–728k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayVisual Novel
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
Horizon Forbidden West™ Complete Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 759k–1.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSingleplayer
Gone Home
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Genital Jousting
2018
Est. copies
≈ 343k–557k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$659k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Dragon Age™ Inquisition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 533k–866k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
21k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
Mass Effect™: Andromeda Deluxe Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
Character CustomizationSci-fi

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