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How many copies did Winter Falling: Battle Tactics sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $90k–$204k before the cut
from 482 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Winter Falling: Battle Tactics out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Winter Falling: Battle Tactics's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–5.7M
best case 20.7M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)
Games like Winter Falling: Battle Tactics

The middle of these games

≈ 4.5M–5.7M copies

≈ $50.4M–$90.9M after Steam's cut

from ~109k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $259.9M–$698.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8) and Turn-Based (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Turn-Based, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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1.9x vs typical
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2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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≈ 4.9M–8.0M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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≈ 6.3M–10.2M
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StrategyHistorical

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