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How big is The Riftbreaker: Prologue?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 102k–166k
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Riftbreaker: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Riftbreaker: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38k–633k
best case 4.5M (V Rising)
Games like The Riftbreaker: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 38k–633k copies

≈ $359k–$8.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: V Rising at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $32.8M–$88.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 150 to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (7 of 8) and Base-Building (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $35.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Riftbreaker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
9.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingTower Defense
VALHALL: Harbinger
2020
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$103k–$276k after Steam's cut $187k–$425k before Steam's cut
$29.99
502 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessVikings
V Rising
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$32.8M–$88.2M after Steam's cut $59.6M–$135.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
137k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Myth of Empires
2024
Est. copies
≈ 437k–710k
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
18k reviews
Mixed
BuildingOpen World Survival Craft
江湖客栈-The Jianghu
2024
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
PvPExploration
Welcome to ParadiZe
2024
Est. copies
≈ 35k–57k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$287k–$772k after Steam's cut $522k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Mixed
ActionMultiplayer
Frozen Flame
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74k–121k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$409k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $743k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft
Castle Craft
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$68k–$184k after Steam's cut $124k–$283k before Steam's cut
$19.99
502 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessVoxel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.