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How many copies did Draconia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–39k
$132k–$354k after Steam's cut $239k–$544k before Steam's cut
from 965 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Draconia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Draconia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 53k–128k
best case 2.3M (Lobotomy Corporation | Monster Management Simulation)
Games like Draconia

A typical game among these

≈ 53k–128k copies

≈ $243k–$569k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Lobotomy Corporation | Monster Management Simulation at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 651 reviews in their first month; the range was 288 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Gore (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Gore, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lobotomy Corporation | Monster Management Simulation
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
34x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementDifficult
Crime Scene Cleaner
2024
Est. copies
≈ 858k–1.4M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.0M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationCrime
Autopsy Simulator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 40k–66k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$277k–$746k after Steam's cut $504k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mixed
SimulationIndie
Tales Of Glory
2020
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before Steam's cut
$10.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionVR
Time of Dragons
2016
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
DragonsFree to Play
Welcome to the Game
2016
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$148k–$398k after Steam's cut $269k–$613k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorHacking
Viscera Cleanup Detail
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before Steam's cut
$12.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationGore
Just Die Already
2021
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$401k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $730k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldMultiplayer

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