How much revenue did Peglin make?

$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Peglin sell?

Q: How many copies did Peglin sell?

439k to 714k copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 439k–714k; $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Peglin and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Peglin's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 749k–1.2M

best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)

Games like Peglin

A typical game among these

≈ 749k–1.2M copies

≈ $6.1M–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Deckbuilding (6 of 8) and Card Game (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Deckbuilding, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Roguelike Deckbuilder + Singleplayer + Card Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Inscryption 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerCard Game
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 6.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
觅长生 2023	Est. copies ≈ 797k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	32k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.3M 6.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	220k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 570k–927k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Griftlands 2021	Est. copies ≈ 359k–584k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
暖雪 Warm Snow 2022	Est. copies ≈ 971k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$17.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 907k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like