How much revenue did The Spike make?

The Spike is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did The Spike sell?

Q: How many copies did The Spike sell?

59k to 95k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 59k–95k; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Spike and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Spike's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 128k–150k

best case 482k (Soccer Online: Ball 3D)

Games like The Spike

A typical game among these

≈ 128k–150k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Soccer Online: Ball 3D at ≈ 368k–597k copies, ≈ $100k–$269k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 974 reviews in their first month; the range was 117 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sports (7 of 8) and Arcade (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sports + Football (Soccer), priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Football (Soccer) + Multiplayer + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions 2020	Est. copies ≈ 168k–273k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	AnimeSports
3on3 FreeStyle: Rebound 2020	Est. copies ≈ 110k–179k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Mixed	BasketballTeam-Based
Tape to Tape 2023	Est. copies ≈ 92k–150k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $506k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $921k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	ColorfulSports
Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 116k–188k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Very Positive	SportsSkateboarding
Soccer Online: Ball 3D 2017	Est. copies ≈ 368k–597k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $100k–$269k after Steam's cut $182k–$414k before Steam's cut	$0.99	11k reviews Very Positive	SportsFootball (Soccer)
NASCAR Heat 5 2020	Est. copies ≈ 98k–159k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	SportsDriving
Shredders 2022	Est. copies ≈ 98k–159k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $806k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Very Positive	SportsSnowboarding
Redout: Enhanced Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 194k–316k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	RacingFlight