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How many copies did My Mud Game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 174–282
$765–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Only 7 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid My Mud Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including My Mud Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 60k–105k
best case 315k (Aliya: Timelink)
Games like My Mud Game

A typical game among these

≈ 60k–105k copies

≈ $180k–$389k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Aliya: Timelink at ≈ 240k–390k copies, ≈ $197k–$530k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 577 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Word Game (8 of 8) and Text-Based (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Interactive Fiction + Visual Novel, priced around $3.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

挂机神话
2023
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$24k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$97k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerCasual
Aliya: Timelink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 240k–390k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$197k–$530k after Steam's cut $359k–$816k before Steam's cut
$2.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGInteractive Fiction
Knell of St. Godhrkar
2021
Est. copies
≈ 39k–64k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG
xiuzhen idle
2025
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before Steam's cut
$5.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerIndie
恋爱绮谭 不存在的真相
2022
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$211k–$568k after Steam's cut $384k–$873k before Steam's cut
$13.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionWord Game
浮生箓 Floating Life
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$2.99
149 reviews
Mixed
Word GameCasual
CaseCracker
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$238k–$639k after Steam's cut $432k–$983k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Text-BasedDetective
Tarot for Storytelling
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before Steam's cut
$1.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
IndieCasual

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