How much revenue did CaseCracker make?

$238k–$639k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did CaseCracker sell?

Q: How many copies did CaseCracker sell?

87k to 141k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 87k–141k; $238k–$639k after Steam's cut $432k–$983k before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CaseCracker and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CaseCracker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 144k–152k

best case 693k (Murders on the Yangtze River)

Games like CaseCracker

A typical game among these

≈ 144k–152k copies

≈ $1.7M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Murders on the Yangtze River at ≈ 528k–858k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 972 reviews in their first month; the range was 206 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Detective (7 of 8) and Mystery (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Puzzle; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
No Case Should Remain Unsolved 2024	Est. copies ≈ 266k–433k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Interactive FictionPuzzle
Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2024	Est. copies ≈ 111k–181k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AdventureVisual Novel
Subsurface Circular 2017	Est. copies ≈ 67k–108k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before Steam's cut	$5.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelInvestigation
Murders on the Yangtze River 2024	Est. copies ≈ 528k–858k 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveAdventure
Staffer Case: A Supernatural Mystery Adventure 2023	Est. copies ≈ 108k–175k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $504k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $916k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$16.99	4k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveStory Rich
The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles 2021	Est. copies ≈ 237k–385k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
Ace Attorney Investigations Collection 2024	Est. copies ≈ 121k–196k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureInvestigation
The Darkside Detective: A Fumble in the Dark 2021	Est. copies ≈ 50k–82k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $207k–$558k after Steam's cut $377k–$858k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsDetective