How much revenue did Subsurface Circular make?

$110k–$295k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Subsurface Circular sell?

Q: How many copies did Subsurface Circular sell?

67k to 108k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 67k–108k; $110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Subsurface Circular and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Subsurface Circular's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 203k–334k

best case 655k (The Test)

Games like Subsurface Circular

A typical game among these

≈ 203k–334k copies

≈ $336k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Test at ≈ 499k–810k copies, ≈ $273k–$734k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 287 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8) and Multiple Endings (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mystery + Drama, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry RPG + Drama + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Her Story 2015	Est. copies ≈ 509k–827k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	InvestigationTyping
Love, Money, Rock'n'Roll 2022	Est. copies ≈ 177k–288k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $886k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
The Operator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	9k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveInvestigation
The Test: Final Revelation 2020	Est. copies ≈ 133k–216k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $73k–$196k after Steam's cut $132k–$301k before Steam's cut	$1.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationChoose Your Own Adventure
Sanfu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 443k–720k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	18k reviews Very Positive	MysteryRPG
No Case Should Remain Unsolved 2024	Est. copies ≈ 266k–433k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$6.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Interactive FictionPuzzle
The Test: Hypothesis Rising 2020	Est. copies ≈ 147k–239k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut	$1.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationMultiple Endings
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation