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How many copies did Automata Break sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Automata Break and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Automata Break's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 277k–1.0M
best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)
Games like Automata Break

A typical game among these

≈ 277k–1.0M copies

≈ $1.3M–$4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 983 to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Tower Defense (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Classic + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
Orcs Must Die! Unchained
2017
Est. copies
≈ 210k–341k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayTower Defense
Bloons TD Battles
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayTower Defense
HYPERCHARGE: Unboxed
2020
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$749k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Co-op CampaignAction-Adventure
Sanctum
2011
Est. copies
≈ 213k–345k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Outpost: Infinity Siege
2024
Est. copies
≈ 338k–550k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Mixed
Robots3D
Sanctum 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
41x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.