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How many copies did Аlien cat 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$265–$713 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Аlien cat 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Аlien cat 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–71k
best case 567k (Touhou Luna Nights)
Games like Аlien cat 4

A typical game among these

≈ 22k–71k copies

≈ $94k–$198k after Steam's cut

from ~693 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Touhou Luna Nights at ≈ 432k–701k copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 349 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (7 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Side Scroller, priced around $18. The breakout hits carry Metroidvania + Platformer + Action-Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sine Mora EX
2017
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$65k–$176k after Steam's cut $119k–$271k before Steam's cut
$9.99
693 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerShoot 'Em Up
Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
Waves
2011
Est. copies
≈ 99k–161k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Super Time Force Ultra
2014
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$224k–$602k after Steam's cut $407k–$926k before Steam's cut
$14.99
970 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerTime Manipulation
TheDawn
2020
Est. copies
≈ 213k–346k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
Star Defence
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut
$0.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Tower DefenseReal Time Tactics
Cozy Space Survivors
2024
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
$2.99
415 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeExploration
RAM: Random Access Mayhem
2025
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$68k–$184k after Steam's cut $124k–$283k before Steam's cut
$14.99
669 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike

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