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How many copies did Vermitron sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 595–967
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 24 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vermitron and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vermitron's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–11k
best case 192k (X-Morph: Defense)
Games like Vermitron

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–11k copies

≈ $17k–$53k after Steam's cut

from ~204 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: X-Morph: Defense at ≈ 146k–237k copies, ≈ $803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 58 reviews in their first month; the range was 29 to 122.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Top-Down Shooter (6 of 8) and Tower Defense (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Strategy + Arena Shooter + Local Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Yet Another Zombie Defense HD
2017
Est. copies
≈ 128k–208k
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$140k–$377k after Steam's cut $255k–$580k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesTop-Down Shooter
Armed to the Gears
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$4.99
215 reviews
Mixed
Top-Down ShooterTower Defense
VERSUS SQUAD
2016
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut
$7.99
583 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionGore
Rogue Star Rescue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$58k before Steam's cut
$14.99
136 reviews
Very Positive
Twin Stick ShooterAction Roguelike
X-Morph: Defense
2017
Est. copies
≈ 146k–237k
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$803k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Slaycation Paradise
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$14.99
193 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionShooter
Frontline Zed
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$11.99
337 reviews
Mixed
IndieAction
Gore Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$2.99
69 reviews
Very Positive
ActionShoot 'Em Up

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.