How much revenue did ARISEN: Prologue make?

ARISEN: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did ARISEN: Prologue sell?

Q: How many copies did ARISEN: Prologue sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 82 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; from 82 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ARISEN: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ARISEN: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66k–213k

best case 428k (The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante)

Games like ARISEN: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 66k–213k copies

≈ $266k–$949k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante at ≈ 326k–529k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 288 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (8 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante — Chapter 1&2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 51k–82k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Interactive FictionChoose Your Own Adventure
Five Dates 2020	Est. copies ≈ 70k–114k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $290k–$779k after Steam's cut $527k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimFMV
The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante 2021	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
I Wani Hug that Gator! 2024	Est. copies ≈ 143k–232k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $589k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Love is All Around: Echoes of Yesterday 2024	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $166k–$447k after Steam's cut $302k–$687k before Steam's cut	$10.99	2k reviews Very Positive	AdventureRPG
Omen Exitio: Plague 2018	Est. copies ≈ 19k–32k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $53k–$144k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before Steam's cut	$9.99	640 reviews Very Positive	LovecraftianIndie
Endless Monday: Dreams and Deadlines 2023	Est. copies ≈ 50k–81k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $137k–$368k after Steam's cut $249k–$566k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelChoose Your Own Adventure
Depression Quest 2014	Est. copies ≈ 221k–359k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Mixed	ShortIndie