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How many copies did Omen Exitio: Plague sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–32k
$53k–$144k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before Steam's cut
from 640 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Omen Exitio: Plague and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Omen Exitio: Plague's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–8k
best case 196k (The Casting of Frank Stone™)
Games like Omen Exitio: Plague

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–8k copies

≈ $5k–$22k after Steam's cut

from ~102 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Casting of Frank Stone™ at ≈ 149k–243k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 72 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 3k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Multiple Endings, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Multiple Endings + Psychological Horror + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Casting of Frank Stone™
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149k–243k
59x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Mixed
Choices MatterMultiple Endings
Scarlet Hollow
2021
Est. copies
≈ 132k–215k
52x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessChoices Matter
The Passenger
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$6.99
130 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorCasual
청춘향전 Cheongchunhyang Jeon
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
64 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCinematic
Saint Kotar
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$40k–$107k after Steam's cut $73k–$165k before Steam's cut
$19.99
293 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureChoices Matter
Mr. Rainer's Solve-It Service
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$58k before Steam's cut
$5.99
346 reviews
Very Positive
DarkSurreal
Care
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$9.99
74 reviews
Very Positive
Tower of Madness
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
46 reviews
Positive

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