How much revenue did The Casting of Frank Stone™ make?

$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Casting of Frank Stone™ sell?

Q: How many copies did The Casting of Frank Stone™ sell?

149k to 243k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 149k–243k; $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Casting of Frank Stone™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Casting of Frank Stone™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 743k–1.2M

best case 22.0M (Undertale)

Games like The Casting of Frank Stone™

A typical game among these

≈ 743k–1.2M copies

≈ $4.3M–$16.8M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.8M–27.2M copies, ≈ $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choices Matter (7 of 8) and Story Rich (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + RPG + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut 2023	Est. copies ≈ 856k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelChoices Matter
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 982k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$11.99	40k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PsychologicalDark Comedy
Oxenfree 2016	Est. copies ≈ 504k–820k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Story RichChoices Matter
Undertale 2015	Est. copies ≈ 16.8M–27.2M 9.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	343k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	47k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe 2022	Est. copies ≈ 898k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	36k reviews Very Positive	Multiple EndingsComedy
The Quarry 2022	Est. copies ≈ 627k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$49.9M before Steam's cut	$69.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterMultiple Endings