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How big is Depression Quest?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 221k–359k
from 4k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Depression Quest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Depression Quest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.1M
best case 4.2M (Helltaker)
Games like Depression Quest

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.1M copies

≈ $14.7M–$19.2M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Helltaker at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Choices Matter (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Demons + Puzzle. The breakout hits carry Demons + Anime + Sexual Content; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Emily is Away
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStory Rich
The Plan
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayIndie
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
SUPERHOT
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
Grimm's Hollow
2019
Est. copies
≈ 421k–684k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPixel Graphics
The Awesome Adventures of Captain Spirit
2018
Est. copies
≈ 460k–747k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStory Rich
We Were Here
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
33k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCo-op

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