How much revenue did Vessels make?

$844–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Vessels sell?

Q: How many copies did Vessels sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 125 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $844–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 125 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vessels and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vessels's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 204k–307k

best case 918k (Night in the Woods)

Games like Vessels

A typical game among these

≈ 204k–307k copies

≈ $1.9M–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Night in the Woods at ≈ 699k–1.1M copies, ≈ $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 504 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Detective (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Exploration, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Exploration + Dark Humor; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Night in the Woods 2017	Est. copies ≈ 699k–1.1M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure
The Case of the Golden Idol 2022	Est. copies ≈ 273k–444k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$17.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MysteryDetective
Gone Home 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	18k reviews Mostly Positive	Walking SimulatorShort
The Rise of the Golden Idol 2024	Est. copies ≈ 103k–167k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $567k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	MysteryInvestigation
1000xRESIST 2024	Est. copies ≈ 175k–284k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $962k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistThriller
Pentiment 2022	Est. copies ≈ 244k–397k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HistoricalStory Rich
Twelve Minutes 2021	Est. copies ≈ 201k–327k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	8k reviews Mostly Positive	IndieAdventure
The Thaumaturge 2024	Est. copies ≈ 149k–241k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RPGSingleplayer