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How many copies did Shikokushi ~food and sightseeing and beauties~ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$14k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut
from 106 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shikokushi ~food and sightseeing and beauties~ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shikokushi ~food and sightseeing and beauties~'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.2M–7.3M
best case 7.5M (Assassin's Creed® Odyssey)
Games like Shikokushi ~food and sightseeing and beauties~

A typical game among these

≈ 5.2M–7.3M copies

≈ $87.0M–$124.8M after Steam's cut

from ~157k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin's Creed® Odyssey at ≈ 5.7M–9.3M copies, ≈ $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 22k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Historical (5 of 8) and Medieval (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Historical, priced around $60.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
183k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Crusader Kings III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
143k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyMedieval
Assassin's Creed® Origins
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$73.3M–$197.2M after Steam's cut $133.3M–$303.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAssassin
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
WORLD OF ART JIGSAW PUZZLES
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
$10.99
158 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut $84.9M–$193.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
186k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.