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How many copies did Lair Hockey sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lair Hockey and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lair Hockey's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 576k–2.8M
best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)
Games like Lair Hockey

A typical game among these

≈ 576k–2.8M copies

≈ $15.7M–$21.6M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Realistic + Destruction + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

not available
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
Project CARS
2015
Est. copies
≈ 705k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingSimulation
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Wreckfest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
42k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDestruction
Goat Simulator
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny
CarX Street
2024
Est. copies
≈ 489k–794k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
Learn to Fly 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 390k–633k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCasual

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