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How many copies did Scrutinized sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–56k
$95k–$255k after Steam's cut $172k–$392k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Scrutinized and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scrutinized's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 207k–823k
best case 1.3M (Unheard - Voices of Crime)
Games like Scrutinized

A typical game among these

≈ 207k–823k copies

≈ $343k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unheard - Voices of Crime at ≈ 981k–1.6M copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 732 reviews in their first month; the range was 287 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Puzzle, priced around $7.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
The Test: Hypothesis Rising
2020
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut
$1.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
SIMULACRA
2017
Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$221k–$595k after Steam's cut $402k–$915k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorDetective
Cyber Manhunt
2021
Est. copies
≈ 390k–634k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Hacknet
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
HackingSimulation
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
The Test: Final Revelation
2020
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$73k–$196k after Steam's cut $132k–$301k before Steam's cut
$1.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationChoose Your Own Adventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.