How much revenue did Winter Survival make?

$101k–$270k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Winter Survival sell?

Q: How many copies did Winter Survival sell?

19k to 31k copies, based on its 776 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 19k–31k; $101k–$270k after Steam's cut $183k–$416k before Steam's cut; from 776 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Winter Survival and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Winter Survival's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–13k

best case 2.2M (Core Keeper)

Games like Winter Survival

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–13k copies

≈ $9k–$144k after Steam's cut

from ~166 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Core Keeper at ≈ 1.7M–2.7M copies, ≈ $9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 110 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 39k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Online Co-Op + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Core Keeper 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M 410x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft
Badiya: Desert Survival 2016	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $78k–$210k after Steam's cut $142k–$324k before Steam's cut	$19.99	342 reviews Mixed	Open World Survival CraftProcedural Generation
BugOut 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut	$14.99	37 reviews Mostly Negative	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Farmer's Life: Prologue 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	241 reviews Mostly Positive	Farming SimFree to Play
Among Trees 2021	Est. copies ≈ 55k–90k 13x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $229k–$615k after Steam's cut $416k–$946k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Mixed	Open World Survival CraftExploration
RivenWorld: The First Era 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$9.99	42 reviews Mixed	Early AccessOpen World
Lodventure 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$70k before Steam's cut	$14.99	166 reviews Mostly Positive	Open World Survival CraftIndie
In Next Life 2026	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	153 reviews Mixed	Early AccessCrafting