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How many copies did Reshaping Mars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
$57k–$153k after Steam's cut $103k–$235k before Steam's cut
from 833 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Reshaping Mars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reshaping Mars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.8M
best case 3.0M (Manor Lords)
Games like Reshaping Mars

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.8M copies

≈ $13.9M–$33.6M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Manor Lords at ≈ 2.3M–3.7M copies, ≈ $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (8 of 8) and Simulation (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Age of Empires® III (2007)
2012
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Surviving Mars
2018
Est. copies
≈ 889k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Mostly Positive
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Dyson Sphere Program
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationSpace
Dungeons 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 644k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyVillain Protagonist

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.