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How big is The Last Show of Mr. Chardish: Act I?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1k–2k
from 50 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Last Show of Mr. Chardish: Act I and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Last Show of Mr. Chardish: Act I's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 341k (VLADiK BRUTAL)
Games like The Last Show of Mr. Chardish: Act I

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $2k–$13k after Steam's cut

from ~50 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Character Action Game (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: VLADiK BRUTAL at ≈ 260k–422k copies, ≈ $857k–$2.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Character Action Game (3 of 8) and Action-Adventure (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry FPS + First-Person + Dystopian ; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$425–$1k after Steam's cut $773–$2k before Steam's cut
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Riffle Effect
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≈ 496–806
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$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
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20 reviews
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ShooterCartoon
Rotatex 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
24 reviews
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Amber Tail Adventure
2017
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
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ActionAdventure
Ruvato: Original Complex
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Very Positive
ActionPlatformer
VLADiK BRUTAL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 260k–422k
210x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$857k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
The Last Show of Mr. Chardish
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut
$9.99
132 reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerAction

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