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How many copies did Riffle Effect sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Riffle Effect and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Riffle Effect's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.3M
best case 3.6M (The Last of Us™ Part I)
Games like Riffle Effect

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.3M copies

≈ $25.6M–$46.0M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Last of Us™ Part I at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 28k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (7 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $60.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

REMNANT II®
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.5M–$63.3M after Steam's cut $42.8M–$97.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
The Callisto Protocol™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.9M–$48.1M after Steam's cut $32.5M–$74.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
44k reviews
Mixed
HorrorSci-fi
Dead Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorThird-Person Shooter
Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 451k–732k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$20.0M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure3D Platformer
The Last of Us™ Part I
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut $82.0M–$186.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichPost-apocalyptic
UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction-Adventure
Sniper Elite 5
2022
Est. copies
≈ 765k–1.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerSniper
Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$18.6M–$50.0M after Steam's cut $33.8M–$77.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerStory Rich

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