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How many copies did Castle Rock Beach, West Australia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
from 359 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Castle Rock Beach, West Australia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Castle Rock Beach, West Australia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 29k–48k
best case 738k (Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024)
Games like Castle Rock Beach, West Australia

A typical game among these

≈ 29k–48k copies

≈ $179k–$316k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 at ≈ 562k–913k copies, ≈ $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 335 reviews in their first month; the range was 111 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Flight, priced around $70. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Hobby Sim + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024
2024
Est. copies
≈ 562k–913k
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
23k reviews
Mixed
SimulationFlight
Green Hell VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$171k–$460k after Steam's cut $311k–$708k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
Subside
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$91k–$244k after Steam's cut $165k–$375k before Steam's cut
$24.99
532 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
cyubeVR
2018
Est. copies
≈ 35k–56k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$285k–$765k after Steam's cut $517k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
VRBuilding
Mýrdalssandur, Iceland
2020
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayWalking Simulator
FPV SkyDive : FPV Drone Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 77k–125k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
FlightExploration
Paper Beast
2020
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$97k–$261k after Steam's cut $176k–$402k before Steam's cut
$19.99
712 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
Kayak VR: Mirage
2022
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$165k–$443k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut
$22.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
VRRacing

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.