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How many copies did Brutal Dinosaur sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Brutal Dinosaur and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Brutal Dinosaur's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 734k–1.1M
best case 5.5M (Total War: WARHAMMER II)
Games like Brutal Dinosaur

A typical game among these

≈ 734k–1.1M copies

≈ $8.3M–$12.3M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER II at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (6 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fantasy + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Blasphemous 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 540k–878k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CombatFantasy
Tiny Tina's Wonderlands
2022
Est. copies
≈ 615k–1000k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$21.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Mostly Positive
LootAdventure
Total War: WARHAMMER II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
121k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyFantasy
Child of Light
2014
Est. copies
≈ 756k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
Angry Giant
2021
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
13 reviews
Positive
AdventureAction
Witch Explorer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$35k before Steam's cut
$6.99
180 reviews
Very Positive
CasualShooter
My Friend Pedro
2019
Est. copies
≈ 821k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionIndie
BRAIN / OUT
2017
Est. copies
≈ 524k–851k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Very Positive
Free to Play2D

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