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How many copies did Tiny Tina's Wonderlands sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 615k–1000k
$5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$21.0M before Steam's cut
from 25k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tiny Tina's Wonderlands and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tiny Tina's Wonderlands's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 942k–1.8M
best case 25.9M (Borderlands 2)
Games like Tiny Tina's Wonderlands

A typical game among these

≈ 942k–1.8M copies

≈ $10.9M–$15.0M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Borderlands 2 at ≈ 19.8M–32.1M copies, ≈ $217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 39k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Looter Shooter (7 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Loot + Looter Shooter, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Borderlands Game of the Year
2023
Est. copies
≈ 791k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.5M after Steam's cut $11.9M–$27.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Looter ShooterFPS
Borderlands 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.1M
9.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
313k reviews
Very Positive
LootShooter
Tom Clancy’s The Division® 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 906k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Looter ShooterOpen World
Borderlands Game of the Year Enhanced
2023
Est. copies
≈ 693k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.4M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Marauders
2022
Est. copies
≈ 532k–864k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
21k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessExtraction Shooter
Borderlands 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
RPGLooter Shooter
Borderlands: The Pre-Sequel
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.7M–$71.7M after Steam's cut $48.5M–$110.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
43k reviews
Mostly Positive
Looter ShooterCo-op
OUTRIDERS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
61k reviews
Mixed
Looter ShooterRPG

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