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How many copies did Fisti-Fluffs sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fisti-Fluffs and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fisti-Fluffs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–5.7M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Fisti-Fluffs

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–5.7M copies

≈ $9k–$34.3M after Steam's cut

from ~75k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Battle Royale (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 44 to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (4 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NBA 2K20
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Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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BasketballSports
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
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FightingAction
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
37x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay
SurvivalZ Battlegrounds
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$1.99
334 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie
Food Chain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$7.99
77 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessBattle Royale

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