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How many copies did Fallen Aces sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 173k–280k
$711k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fallen Aces and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallen Aces's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 871–5.4M
best case 7.9M (Squad)
Games like Fallen Aces

A typical game among these

≈ 871–5.4M copies

≈ $278k–$86.4M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Squad at ≈ 6.0M–9.8M copies, ≈ $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 733 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 88k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Immersive Sim (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Military + Realistic, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Psycho Patrol R
2025
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$598k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessImmersive Sim
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World
Hunkenstein
2022
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$7.99
27 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
Total Rendition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Early AccessModern
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
KUNKUNKUN
2024
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$353–$949 after Steam's cut $642–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
26 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.8M–$155.4M after Steam's cut $105.1M–$239.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldFPS
Rising Storm 2: Vietnam
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.0M–$37.7M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
FPSWargame

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