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How many copies did Lorn's Lure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 71k–116k
$293k–$788k after Steam's cut $533k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lorn's Lure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lorn's Lure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 822–68k
best case 482k (White Knuckle)
Games like Lorn's Lure

A typical game among these

≈ 822–68k copies

≈ $4k–$502k after Steam's cut

from ~93 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: White Knuckle at ≈ 367k–597k copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Parkour (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Parkour + First-Person, priced around $17.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cloudbuilt
2014
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$292k–$786k after Steam's cut $532k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
950 reviews
Very Positive
ParkourAction
Hatch
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$2.99
94 reviews
Very Positive
First-PersonIndie
White Knuckle
2025
Est. copies
≈ 367k–597k
159x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
$16.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessParkour
Finding Frankie
2024
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$212k–$569k after Steam's cut $385k–$875k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorParkour
Skotos
2021
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
27 reviews
Mixed
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Tiny Jump
2023
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
20 reviews
Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Soul Drifter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$14.99
19 reviews
Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
WHITE CHOCOLATE
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$3.99
92 reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-Op3D Platformer

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