How much revenue did BLUE REFLECTION: Second Light make?

$455k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did BLUE REFLECTION: Second Light sell?

Q: How many copies did BLUE REFLECTION: Second Light sell?

28k to 45k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 28k–45k; $455k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $827k–$1.9M before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BLUE REFLECTION: Second Light and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BLUE REFLECTION: Second Light's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 31k–239k

best case 309k (OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition)

Games like BLUE REFLECTION: Second Light

A typical game among these

≈ 31k–239k copies

≈ $186k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition at ≈ 235k–382k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 240 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Emotional, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 235k–382k 7.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelEmotional
Conception II: Children of the Seven Stars 2016	Est. copies ≈ 29k–47k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $157k–$423k after Steam's cut $286k–$651k before Steam's cut	$19.99	688 reviews Mostly Positive	RPGAnime
Vampires' Melody 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 26k–41k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$116k before Steam's cut	$3.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Interactive FictionVisual Novel
fault - milestone one 2014	Est. copies ≈ 181k–295k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $748k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Girls of The Tower 2024	Est. copies ≈ 15k–25k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $29k–$79k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut	$6.99	618 reviews Very Positive	Auto BattlerRogue-like
Azur Lane Crosswave 2020	Est. copies ≈ 184k–299k 6.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	7k reviews Mixed	RPGAction
Mary Skelter: Nightmares 2018	Est. copies ≈ 18k–29k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $125k–$335k after Steam's cut $227k–$516k before Steam's cut	$24.99	597 reviews Very Positive	JRPG Dungeon Crawler
Death end re;Quest 2019	Est. copies ≈ 41k–66k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $337k–$906k after Steam's cut $613k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	AnimeJRPG