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How many copies did Magia X sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$41k–$109k after Steam's cut $74k–$168k before Steam's cut
from 298 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magia X and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magia X's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 118k–456k
best case 1.0M (ASTLIBRA Revision)
Games like Magia X

A typical game among these

≈ 118k–456k copies

≈ $724k–$8.5M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ASTLIBRA Revision at ≈ 792k–1.3M copies, ≈ $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 621 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (7 of 8) and Action RPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Side Scroller, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

One Way Heroics
2014
Est. copies
≈ 233k–378k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$223k–$601k after Steam's cut $406k–$924k before Steam's cut
$3.49
4k reviews
Very Positive
Mystery DungeonSide Scroller
Vigil: The Longest Night
2020
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$548k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $997k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$21.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Eternights
2023
Est. copies
≈ 86k–140k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$711k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeDating Sim
Eiyuden Chronicle: Rising
2022
Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$255k–$686k after Steam's cut $464k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGAdventure
Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 228k–371k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $798k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAnime
SCARLET NEXUS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 452k–734k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$79.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
ASTLIBRA Revision
2022
Est. copies
≈ 792k–1.3M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RPG2D
KINGDOM HEARTS -HD 1.5+2.5 ReMIX-
2024
Est. copies
≈ 313k–508k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG

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