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How many copies did Astatos sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
from 311 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astatos and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astatos's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–5k
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Astatos

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–5k copies

≈ $23k–$31k after Steam's cut

from ~139 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 66 reviews in their first month; the range was 32 to 371.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (8 of 8) and Card Game (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

All in Abyss: Judge the Fake
2025
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$55k–$147k after Steam's cut $99k–$226k before Steam's cut
$15.99
500 reviews
Mixed
Card BattlerGambling
Helmetman
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$19.99
145 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessRoguelike Deckbuilder
Kamifuda
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$10.99
139 reviews
Very Positive
Card GameStory Rich
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
1580x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Huntsman: Winter's Curse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
300 reviews
Mostly Positive
Card BattlerRPG
Cardfight!! Vanguard Dear Days 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$312k–$838k after Steam's cut $567k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$69.99
653 reviews
Mixed
StrategyRPG
Monster Monpiece
2017
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
$9.99
390 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyCard Battler
长明火计划 Project: Eternal Flame
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut
$19.99
105 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelCard Game

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