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How many copies did Cardfight!! Vanguard Dear Days 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$312k–$838k after Steam's cut $567k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 653 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cardfight!! Vanguard Dear Days 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cardfight!! Vanguard Dear Days 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–17k
best case 37k (Shadowhand: RPG Card Game)
Games like Cardfight!! Vanguard Dear Days 2

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–17k copies

≈ $48k–$105k after Steam's cut

from ~351 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shadowhand: RPG Card Game at ≈ 28k–46k copies, ≈ $133k–$358k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 84 reviews in their first month; the range was 32 to 371.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with CRPG + Visual Novel, priced around $17.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

All in Abyss: Judge the Fake
2025
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$55k–$147k after Steam's cut $99k–$226k before Steam's cut
$15.99
500 reviews
Mixed
Card BattlerGambling
Astatos
2021
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$14.99
311 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessVisual Novel
Helmetman
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$19.99
145 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessRoguelike Deckbuilder
The Huntsman: Winter's Curse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
300 reviews
Mostly Positive
Card BattlerRPG
Monster Monpiece
2017
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
$9.99
390 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyCard Battler
Ancient Enemy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$59k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$246k before Steam's cut
$16.99
513 reviews
Very Positive
Shadowhand: RPG Card Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 28k–46k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$550k before Steam's cut
$16.99
828 reviews
Very Positive
Kamifuda
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$10.99
139 reviews
Very Positive
Card GameStory Rich

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