How much revenue did Tiny Island make?

$1k–$4k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tiny Island sell?

Q: How many copies did Tiny Island sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 42 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut; from 42 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tiny Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tiny Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–57k

best case 104k (Megaton Rainfall)

Games like Tiny Island

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–57k copies

≈ $121k–$443k after Steam's cut

from ~745 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Megaton Rainfall at ≈ 79k–129k copies, ≈ $350k–$940k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 156 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 543.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share VR (6 of 8) and God Game (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Superhero + Destruction, priced around $16.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Megaton Rainfall 2017	Est. copies ≈ 79k–129k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $350k–$940k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$15.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	SuperheroDestruction
Tiny Town VR 2017	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $179k–$481k after Steam's cut $325k–$740k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationIndie
Rez Infinite 2017	Est. copies ≈ 44k–71k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $301k–$810k after Steam's cut $548k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Very Positive	On-Rails ShooterFlight
Townsmen VR 2022	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $156k–$419k after Steam's cut $284k–$645k before Steam's cut	$39.99	572 reviews Very Positive	SimulationStrategy
The Book of Distance 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	188 reviews Very Positive	Interactive FictionVR
Tethered 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$157k before Steam's cut	$18.99	211 reviews Very Positive	StrategyIndie
Deisim 2022	Est. copies ≈ 23k–37k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $94k–$252k after Steam's cut $170k–$388k before Steam's cut	$14.99	917 reviews Very Positive	God GameSandbox
Tentacular 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$58k before Steam's cut	$19.99	102 reviews Very Positive	CasualVR