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How big is Shotgun Witch?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 28k–45k
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shotgun Witch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shotgun Witch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 59k–92k
best case 1.6M (Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor)
Games like Shotgun Witch

A typical game among these

≈ 59k–92k copies

≈ $182k–$295k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 330 to 41k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dwarf + Action Roguelike, priced around $13. The breakout hits carry Dwarf + PvE + Top-Down; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfAction Roguelike
Pesticide Not Required
2024
Est. copies
≈ 24k–38k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$42k–$113k after Steam's cut $77k–$174k before Steam's cut
$6.50
951 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Time Wasters
2023
Est. copies
≈ 65k–106k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$89k–$240k after Steam's cut $162k–$370k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Glyphica: Typing Survival
2024
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$175k–$471k after Steam's cut $318k–$724k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessTyping
Chippy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$141k–$379k after Steam's cut $256k–$582k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok
2024
Est. copies
≈ 157k–256k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Bounty of One
2023
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$145k–$389k after Steam's cut $263k–$598k before Steam's cut
$6.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterArena Shooter
FatalZone
2024
Est. copies
≈ 56k–92k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$109k–$292k after Steam's cut $197k–$449k before Steam's cut
$6.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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