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How many copies did Heroes of the Three Kingdoms 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20k–32k
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
from 805 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heroes of the Three Kingdoms 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heroes of the Three Kingdoms 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 43k–140k
best case 389k (Ultimate General: Civil War)
Games like Heroes of the Three Kingdoms 3

A typical game among these

≈ 43k–140k copies

≈ $208k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Ultimate General: Civil War at ≈ 296k–481k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 616 reviews in their first month; the range was 170 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Strategy RPG (5 of 8) and Military (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Wargame + Real Time Tactics, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Heroes of the Three Kingdoms 7
2020
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$146k–$393k after Steam's cut $266k–$604k before Steam's cut
$6.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyStrategy RPG
Radio Commander: Vietnam '64
2019
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$328k–$882k after Steam's cut $596k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationSingleplayer
War Hospital
2024
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$264k–$710k after Steam's cut $480k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Mixed
Medical SimManagement
Heroes of the Three Kingdoms 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 48k–77k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyStrategy RPG
Heroes of the Three Kingdoms
2020
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut
$0.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyStrategy RPG
The DioField Chronicle
2022
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$329k–$883k after Steam's cut $597k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
803 reviews
Mixed
RPGStrategy
Ultimate General: Civil War
2017
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
WargameReal Time Tactics
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts
2023
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
8k reviews
Mixed
Naval CombatNaval

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