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How many copies did Book of Shadows sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Book of Shadows and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Book of Shadows's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 707k–1.1M
best case 902k (Tricky Towers)
Games like Book of Shadows

A typical game among these

≈ 707k–1.1M copies

≈ $3.1M–$4.5M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tricky Towers at ≈ 687k–1.1M copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 3 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (5 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Puzzle, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Peggle Deluxe
2007
Est. copies
≈ 921k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
Tricky Towers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 687k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Play minigames with Reiko
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before Steam's cut
$5.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Early AccessAnime
Learn to Fly 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 390k–633k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
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Mr. Goofer’s Mini Game Arcade Party!
2025
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut
$4.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
ArcadeCartoony
Rope Bowling
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualPhysics
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
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5 reviews
5 user reviews
PePiBo: Peregrino Pinata Bowling
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before Steam's cut
$7.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualSports

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