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How many copies did Undisputed sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 567k–921k
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
from 23k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Undisputed and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Undisputed's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 214k–399k
best case 2.6M (Street Fighter™ 6)
Games like Undisputed

A typical game among these

≈ 214k–399k copies

≈ $3.0M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 3D Fighter (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Street Fighter™ 6 at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 658 to 48k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Fighter (3 of 8) and Fighting (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Fighting, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Action + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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